Predicting an IndyCar winner a complete crapshoot

Coming off his doubleheader win in Detroit this past weekend, can Rahal repeat his Texas win from a year ago?
Coming off his doubleheader win in Detroit this past weekend, can Rahal repeat his Texas win from a year ago?

It's near impossible to peg a favorite in IndyCar these days writes Drew Davison of the Star-Telegram.

Seven races, seven different winners so far in the open-wheel circuit. Parity is even prevalent in the winners, too, with five different countries being represented. A couple Frenchmen, an Aussie, two Americans, a Canadian and now a Japanese driver have all visited Victory Lane.

The winners have hailed from powerhouse teams such as Team Penske to smaller shops such as Dale Coyne Racing and Schmidt Peterson Motorsports.

The safe bet is to look for another different winner when the series comes to Texas Motor Speedway next Saturday for the Rainguard Water Sealers 600 on its new carpet-like surface. The race is scheduled to start at 7 p.m.

"This season just goes to show you that you never know who is going to win these things," TMS president Eddie Gossage said. "Every race matters and the drivers are all trying to win them so hard. The cars, the equipment is really good right now.

"You've got some teams you don't normally see at the front of the field that are competing and having a chance to win. So I think that's spectacular. It's really, really good racing right now."

An argument, though, could be made that having more consistent winners is better for the sport so they become household names. Dynasties can be just as desirable as parity. After all, fans love to see front-runners either win it all or become victims of a big upset.

Think of Jimmie Johnson's dominance in NASCAR in the mid-2000s.

"Well, it's also been said that Jimmie winning all the time is not good for NASCAR," Gossage said. "So, the bottom line is, you drop the green flag and the fastest driver to the finish wins. That's all you can do – offer that level field to everyone to compete."

So far, it's been as level as possible. Anyone has a chance to win on a given weekend.

On Memorial Day, Takuma Sato accomplished a feat nobody from his country (Japan) had done – winning the Indianapolis 500. In order to do so, Sato had to pass three-time Indy champion Helio Castroneves with five laps to go and hold off a late charge.

"Would've it been a bigger story if Helio had won his fourth Indy 500? I don't know," Gossage said. "All I know is it's a big deal to me that Takuma Sato became the first Japanese ever to win the Indy 500. And it's not a fluke. He's won before.

"So it is what it is. I think it's a good thing to think that when you sit there and watch the field take the green flag. There's a whole bunch of guys with a chance to win."

Sato had only one other IndyCar victory, in April 2013. He had gone 71 races without a win, but had a couple top-10 runs earlier this season.

"That just shows you how competitive IndyCar is," Sato said. "It's a great privilege to win the Indy 500. Every race should be special and the 500 is even on top of that." Drew Davison/Star Telegram

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